Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma State Cowboys | Texas Tech Red Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.0% | 88.0% | +13.5 | ✓ (8.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | +12.6 | ✓ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 16.0% | 84.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.6% | 76.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +22 (102-80). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Roy * | 34 | 7-10 | 6-8 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 20 | -12.1 |
| Vyctorius Miller * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| Kanye Clary * | 30 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | -11.7 |
| Parsa Fallah * | 25 | 7-12 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 15 | -7.1 |
| Christian Coleman * | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -11.0 |
| Jaylen Curry | 24 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | -2.2 |
| Benjamin Ahmed | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Isaiah Coleman | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +2.8 |
| Ryan Crotty | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +0.4 |
| Kirk Cole | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| Daniel Guetta | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson * | 39 | 7-15 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 21 | +15.9 |
| Donovan Atwell * | 33 | 5-12 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 5 | +19.0 |
| LeJuan Watts * | 32 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 16 | +4.4 |
| JT Toppin * | 30 | 10-19 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +20.2 |
| Jaylen Petty * | 28 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +19.3 |
| Tyeree Bryan | 18 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -1.1 |
| Leon Horner | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.9 |
| Nolan Groves | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.6 |
| Jazz Henderson Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.0 |
| Jack Francis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.5 |
* = starter