Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Timberwolves | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.2% | 48.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.7% | 28.3% | -10.2 | ✓ (9.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Heat -1 (124-125). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joan Beringer * | 24 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| Trey Lyles * | 21 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Bones Hyland * | 21 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 25 | - |
| Jaylen Clark * | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Terrence Shannon Jr * | 15 | 8-16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Zyon Pullin | 27 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Cody Williams | 27 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | - |
| Isaiah Evans | 21 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| KJ Martin | 16 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Rocco Zikarsky | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Antonio Reeves | 12 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Norchad Omier | 9 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Drew Timme | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Enrique Freeman | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jović * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Nick Richards * | 24 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 16 | - |
| Pelle Larsson * | 24 | 4-15 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Vladislav Goldin * | 23 | 7-10 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Simone Fontecchio * | 23 | 4-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 3 | - |
| Tre Donaldson * | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Conwell | 32 | 7-18 | 2-9 | 6-7 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Myron Gardner | 27 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ian Schieffelin | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Bez Mbeng | 20 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
* = starter