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2025-12-07

Model Predictions

Model LSU Tigers Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 11.8% 88.2% -
Bradley-Terry 20.1% 79.9% -
Margin 12.1% 87.9% +10.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.8% 58.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.0% 88.0% -
Log Adjusted 11.8% 88.2% -
Points Off/Def 26.8% 73.2% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +24 (82-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thomas Jr. * 33 5-14 1-4 2-2 0 1 2 0 3 13 -1 -4.1
M. Sutton * 28 3-8 0-4 1-4 8 0 1 0 1 7 7 -4.0
M. Nwoko * 22 4-8 0-0 2-2 7 1 0 1 1 10 10 -4.0
P. Tamba * 20 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 1 0 4 10 -1.8
M. Mackinnon * 16 0-9 0-5 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 -5 -4.0
R. Miller III 27 2-3 0-0 2-4 4 1 1 0 1 6 8 +2.1
R. King 22 1-6 0-3 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 4 0 -
J. Reece 12 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -1 +2.1
PJ Carter 10 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
R. Zipper 6 2-4 2-4 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 +2.1
M. Mosley 4 1-3 0-1 0-1 0 0 1 0 0 2 0 +2.2

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson * 37 9-16 5-9 4-7 5 10 2 0 4 27 24 -
D. Atwell * 32 3-9 3-8 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 9 3 +0.1
JT Toppin * 31 5-10 0-1 1-2 15 1 1 3 2 11 19 +4.1
L. Bamgboye * 22 1-4 0-1 4-4 3 1 1 0 1 6 6 +2.0
T. Bryan * 18 1-2 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 3 4 +4.1
J. Petty 26 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 11 7 -2.0
L. Watts 25 5-11 1-2 4-4 10 0 1 1 2 15 14 -3.0
L. Horner 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.9
N. Groves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
J. Francis 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter