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2026-01-31

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 61.3% 38.7% -
Bradley-Terry 41.6% 58.4% -
Margin 71.7% 28.3% -5.1 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.0% 23.0% -
Log Adjusted 77.2% 22.8% -
Points Off/Def 58.8% 41.2% -

Actual: UCF Knights +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson 40 5-10 3-8 4-4 1 9 1 0 4 17 14 -
JT Toppin 37 12-17 2-4 1-3 10 2 1 1 4 27 20 -4.9
D. Atwell 37 4-7 3-6 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 11 8 -4.9
J. Petty 29 2-6 0-3 1-2 2 4 1 0 1 5 5 -4.9
L. Watts 23 3-9 2-6 1-2 2 2 0 0 3 9 1 -4.9
J. Moseley 17 3-3 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 6 7 -5.0
T. Bryan 14 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
L. Bamgboye 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 2 2 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Burks 36 5-7 1-1 6-6 4 1 0 0 0 17 15 +5.0
J. Stillwell 35 3-8 1-1 3-4 10 4 1 0 0 10 17 +5.0
T. Fulks 34 9-23 1-3 2-2 3 7 0 0 3 21 5 +5.0
R. Kugel 29 2-9 1-4 4-5 2 3 3 0 2 9 6 +5.1
J. Bol 29 6-8 0-0 2-3 10 0 0 1 0 14 17 +5.0
C. Johnson 17 3-5 0-1 1-2 0 2 2 0 1 7 5 -
C. Pacheco 15 2-3 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 6 8 -
Dev. Cambridge 5 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter