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2026-10-06

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 21.0% 79.0% +5.1 βœ— (11.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 18.5% 81.5% - βœ—
Margin 16.9% 83.1% +8.8 βœ— (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 49.8% 50.2% - βœ—
Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 37.0% 63.0% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 37.2% 62.8% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 35.5% 64.5% - βœ—

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder -6 (110-116). Ratings: 2026-27 ratings to date (they include this game).

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Herbert Jones * 19 3-6 1-4 0-1 2 1 0 0 0 7 4 -
Trey Murphy III * 19 4-11 2-6 1-2 3 2 2 0 0 11 7 -
Yves Missi * 18 1-7 0-0 4-4 7 1 1 1 0 6 9 -
Dejounte Murray * 18 2-8 1-3 1-2 4 6 0 0 1 6 7 -
Derik Queen * 17 3-6 1-1 3-7 9 1 3 0 2 10 15 -
Zion Williamson * 16 4-6 1-2 2-3 4 1 0 0 1 11 9 -
Saddiq Bey 19 1-6 0-2 3-3 2 0 1 0 1 5 1 -
Jeremiah Fears 17 3-6 2-3 4-6 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 -
Jordan Poole 16 2-3 0-1 5-6 1 0 1 0 0 9 8 -
Bennedict Mathurin 16 3-5 2-4 5-5 2 5 0 0 1 13 14 -
Bryce McGowens 12 2-6 1-1 2-2 1 1 2 1 1 7 5 -
Karlo Matković 12 1-3 0-1 1-2 3 1 2 1 0 3 7 -
Jaron Pierre Jr. 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 3 0 1 1 3 6 -
Trendon Watford 12 3-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 2 0 1 7 10 -
Caleb Houstan 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
Kobe Bufkin 5 2-4 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 3 -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bennett Stirtz * 30 6-9 3-6 0-0 5 6 0 0 4 15 13 -
Aday Mara * 18 5-5 0-0 2-2 9 3 0 3 2 12 20 -
Ajay Mitchell * 17 2-7 1-2 6-6 1 4 0 0 2 11 7 -
Kenrich Williams * 17 3-6 3-4 0-0 8 2 1 1 1 9 14 -
Jared McCain * 16 4-10 4-8 0-0 1 5 1 0 1 12 8 -
Josh Dix 30 4-7 3-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 11 6 -
Otega Oweh 27 3-9 0-2 0-4 6 1 2 1 2 6 5 -
Christoph Tilly 25 4-7 0-0 1-2 4 2 0 1 3 9 6 -
Brooks Barnhizer 25 4-5 1-1 3-5 7 3 0 1 2 12 16 -
Zhaire Smith 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 -
Anthony Pritchard 9 3-3 1-1 0-0 2 1 2 0 2 7 7 -
Andrew Holifield 7 1-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 0 -

* = starter