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2025-12-13

Model Predictions

Model Texas Tech Red Raiders Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 23.3% 76.7% -
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% -
Margin 39.5% 60.5% +2.3 (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.0% 54.0% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 46.6% 53.4% -
Log Adjusted 46.5% 53.5% -
Points Off/Def 41.3% 58.7% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +7 (93-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
JT Toppin 40 14-22 0-1 2-7 11 0 2 3 3 30 21 +4.2
C. Anderson 40 10-17 5-11 1-3 4 11 0 0 4 26 20 -
L. Watts 33 3-10 2-3 0-0 4 5 0 0 0 8 7 +4.2
T. Bryan 32 3-7 2-5 0-0 4 4 0 1 0 8 10 +4.2
J. Petty 29 3-8 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 8 8 +4.2
D. Atwell 26 2-5 2-5 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 2 +4.2

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Knox 35 8-11 3-4 1-3 6 1 2 2 0 20 20 -4.0
D. Acuff Jr. 34 7-14 2-5 4-6 4 8 0 1 2 20 17 -3.8
T. Brazile 32 8-13 4-5 4-4 10 0 0 2 2 24 21 -3.9
D.J. Wagner 28 2-5 0-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 4 0 -1.9
M. Thomas 24 2-8 1-4 3-3 2 2 1 0 0 8 5 -1.9
M. Ewin 18 4-5 0-0 1-2 6 1 0 1 1 9 11 -
B. Richmond III 18 1-5 0-0 4-4 3 4 2 0 0 6 10 -
N. Pringle 11 1-2 0-0 0-4 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -3.8

* = starter