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2026-02-11

Model Predictions

Model Colorado Buffaloes Texas Tech Red Raiders Spread Result
Elo 19.0% 81.0% -
Bradley-Terry 25.3% 74.7% -
Margin 8.9% 91.1% +12.8 (21.2 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.1% 90.9% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -
Points Off/Def 23.5% 76.5% -

Actual: Texas Tech Red Raiders +34 (78-44). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Johnson 32 5-9 0-3 3-5 3 2 0 0 3 13 6 -
B. Hargress 29 3-9 1-5 2-2 1 3 0 0 0 9 4 -
S. Rancik 25 1-8 1-6 0-0 5 0 1 2 5 3 -2 -
I. Inman 23 4-7 4-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 12 5 -
F. Ifaola 20 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 3 0 0 2 10 -
J. Sanders 20 0-3 0-2 1-3 3 0 1 0 1 1 1 -
J. Holland 15 2-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 4 0 -
A. Michaeli 15 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
B. Dak 11 0-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -7 -
E. Malone 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
F. Kossaras 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Anderson 36 5-10 3-6 1-2 3 7 1 0 5 14 10 -
JT Toppin 34 6-11 1-2 3-3 18 2 2 3 1 16 29 -
D. Atwell 30 6-10 6-10 2-2 2 1 1 0 1 20 13 -
J. Petty 27 5-12 2-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 1 12 5 -
L. Watts 21 2-6 0-1 1-3 5 2 1 2 1 5 8 -
L. Bamgboye 18 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 0 1 4 0 7 12 -
T. Bryan 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Moseley 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
N. Groves 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 2 -
L. Horner 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Henderson 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Francis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter