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Texas Tech

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Texas Tech Red Raiders, Texas Tech
Program History
Coach: Grant McCasland

2026 Team Stats (34 games)

80.3
PPG
73.1
Opp
+7.2
Margin
46.8%
FG%
39.1%
3P%
71.5%
FT%
36.7
RPG
15.5
APG
10.8
TO
79.0
Pace
82.8
AdjO
63.0
AdjD
#20
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1227 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1237 (#36) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1103 (#51) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +20.1 (#19) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +29.9 (#22) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.745 (#48) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +28.2 More → 0.935 (#32) NetEff +28.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +25.9 More → 0.952 (#21) AdjNet +25.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +26.2 More → 0.954 (#21) AdjNet +26.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 63.0 More → 0.858 (#20) AdjO 82.8 | AdjD 63.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 67.1 More → 0.723 (#31) AdjO 77.7 | AdjD 67.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.942 (#20) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.921 (#22) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 34 More → 1322 (#22) RD 105 | GP 34

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Lindenwood Lions W 98 - 60
2025-11-07 vs Sam Houston Bearkats W 98 - 77
2025-11-11 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 77 - 81
2025-11-14 vs Milwaukee Panthers W 80 - 63
2025-11-20 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 84 - 83
2025-11-21 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 56 - 86
2025-11-26 vs New Orleans Privateers W 82 - 50
2025-11-30 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 76 - 72
2025-12-07 vs LSU Tigers W 82 - 58
2025-12-13 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 86 - 93
2025-12-16 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 101 - 90
2025-12-20 @ Duke Blue Devils W 82 - 81
2025-12-28 vs Winthrop Eagles W 87 - 57
2026-01-03 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys W 102 - 80
2026-01-06 @ Houston Cougars L 65 - 69
2026-01-10 @ Colorado Buffaloes W 73 - 71
2026-01-14 vs Utah Utes W 88 - 74
2026-01-17 vs BYU Cougars W 84 - 71
2026-01-20 @ Baylor Bears W 92 - 73
2026-01-24 vs Houston Cougars W 90 - 86
2026-01-31 @ UCF Knights L 80 - 88
2026-02-02 vs Kansas Jayhawks L 61 - 64
2026-02-08 @ West Virginia Mountaineers W 70 - 63
2026-02-11 vs Colorado Buffaloes W 78 - 44
2026-02-14 @ Arizona Wildcats W 78 - 75
2026-02-17 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 67 - 72
2026-02-21 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 100 - 72
2026-02-24 vs Cincinnati Bearcats W 80 - 68
2026-02-28 @ Iowa State Cyclones W 82 - 73
2026-03-03 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 65 - 73
2026-03-07 @ BYU Cougars L 76 - 82
2026-03-12 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 53 - 75
2026-03-20 vs Akron Zips W 91 - 71
2026-03-22 @ Alabama Crimson Tide L 65 - 90

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
JT Toppin JT Toppin - 27 32.3 20.2 10.0 2.0 1.3 1.6 2.3 15.8 17.0 68 3.2 28.5 54.8 28.1 57.9 0.79 57.6 56.7
C. Anderson C. Anderson - 33 38.4 18.5 3.6 7.3 1.5 0.2 3.3 13.1 14.7 8 0.8 6.1 47.2 41.5 80.5 -0.28 63.1 59.7
D. Atwell D. Atwell - 34 34.7 13.5 3.2 0.8 1.2 0.1 0.4 9.3 9.1 143 6.2 41.3 46.3 45.8 84.1 0.97 68.6 67.0
L. Watts L. Watts F 33 27.3 11.8 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.2 2.5 9.1 9.5 101 4.6 27.9 43.3 32.1 76.9 1.0 54.0 47.5
Jaylen Petty Jaylen Petty - 33 30.4 9.9 3.9 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.9 8.2 7.5 87 4.1 29.2 40.6 37.5 77.1 0.89 55.8 53.3
Josiah Moseley Josiah Moseley F 14 13.9 5.5 3.6 0.5 0.3 1.1 0.6 3.6 6.8 -6 -3.0 -47.5 68.6 50.0 36.4 -0.07 68.9 71.6
Luke Bamgboye Luke Bamgboye F 21 16.5 4.5 3.4 0.5 0.3 1.7 0.6 2.9 6.8 19 2.7 20.8 50.8 0.0 71.1 0.17 58.2 50.8
T. Bryan T. Bryan G 33 17.1 3.5 2.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.3 3.4 3.5 70 3.3 25.0 35.1 28.6 66.7 0.78 47.4 45.0
L. Horner L. Horner - 24 8.6 2.7 1.9 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 2.2 2.8 19 1.6 22.2 46.2 36.4 86.7 0.3 55.5 50.0
Marial Akuentok Marial Akuentok - 15 5.9 1.1 1.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 2.1 12 3.0 22.1 50.0 100.0 30.8 0.07 48.0 54.2
Nolan Groves Nolan Groves - 23 5.8 0.9 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.9 1.6 20 1.2 17.1 23.8 23.5 58.3 0.03 40.0 33.3
J. Henderson J. Henderson - 13 3.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.5 64 3.6 4.8 33.3 50.0 50.0 0.03 42.7 41.7
J. Francis J. Francis - 15 1.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 -10 -0.9 -68.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.08 0.0 0.0
LaTrell Hoover LaTrell Hoover F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG