Portland Pilots
2013 Team Stats (4 games)
64.0
PPG
68.4
Opp
-7.4
Margin
42.7%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
37.5
RPG
13.8
APG
16.8
TO
79.9
Pace
Model Outputs
2012-2013
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1167 (#240) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1193 (#232) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 944 (#500) | HCA +147 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +19.1 (#247) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +3.5 (#250) | HCA +3.3 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.093 (#114) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.027 (#280) | NetEff -28.5 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.087 (#108) | AdjNet -20.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.086 (#108) | AdjNet -20.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.407 (#506) | AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.513 (#271) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.483 (#282) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 960 (#243) | RD 160 | GP 32 |
2013 Schedule & Results
2013 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R. Nicholas
|
F | 32 | 31.1 | 13.0 | 8.7 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 3.2 | 18.7 | -164 | -5.1 | -7.1 | 40.8 | 40.6 | 72.2 | -0.17 | 174.6 | 47.1 |
K. Bailey
|
G | 29 | 24.9 | 11.4 | 2.6 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 2.3 | 11.1 | -120 | -4.1 | -7.2 | 46.3 | 41.2 | 77.3 | -0.05 | 216.5 | 51.5 |
T. van der Mars
|
C | 32 | 23.2 | 7.9 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 12.2 | -59 | -1.8 | -3.6 | 64.9 | 0 | 70.6 | 0.78 | 196.2 | 64.9 |
D. Rodgers
|
G | 32 | 25.7 | 6.2 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 9.0 | -8 | -0.4 | -2.5 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 84.0 | -0.36 | 178.6 | 42.2 |
T. Riley
|
G | 29 | 14.1 | 5.3 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 4.6 | -88 | -3.0 | -7.2 | 42.2 | 39.3 | 100.0 | -0.21 | 170.6 | 54.4 |
D. Carr
|
G | 17 | 22.0 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 2.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 1.1 | 1.5 | 6.5 | 33 | 1.8 | 4.5 | 42.3 | 46.2 | 66.7 | 0.95 | 142.8 | 53.8 |
K. Thieleke
|
G | 30 | 19.6 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 6.9 | -118 | -3.9 | -8.3 | 34.1 | 14.3 | 55.6 | -0.51 | 122.3 | 36.4 |
O. Reinfelds
|
G | 27 | 15.9 | 4.1 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 4.6 | -54 | -2.0 | -4.8 | 32.7 | 29.2 | 52.9 | 0.33 | 98.3 | 39.8 |
B. Pressley
|
G | 29 | 18.5 | 3.8 | 2.4 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 6.7 | -176 | -6.1 | -12.0 | 53.3 | 22.2 | 78.6 | -0.87 | 152.1 | 56.7 |
R. Barker
|
C | 30 | 16.8 | 3.7 | 3.9 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 7.4 | -162 | -5.4 | -11.5 | 47.1 | 25.0 | 50.0 | -1.04 | 151.5 | 48.5 |
J. Ehlers
|
F | 21 | 7.8 | 1.9 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 2.1 | -23 | -1.0 | -4.6 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.17 | 105.5 | 20.0 |
D. Ahern
|
G | 8 | 4.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | -7 | -0.7 | -4.6 | 40.0 | 0.0 | 100.0 | -0.07 | 51.0 | 40.0 |
J. Bailey
|
F | 22 | 5.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 1.4 | - | - | - | 22.2 | 0 | 75.0 | -0.09 | 60.4 | 22.2 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG