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Portland Pilots

Also known as: Portland Pilots
Program History

2013 Team Stats (4 games)

64.0
PPG
68.4
Opp
-7.4
Margin
42.7%
FG%
36.8%
3P%
70.2%
FT%
37.5
RPG
13.8
APG
16.8
TO
79.9
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1167 (#240) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1193 (#232) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 944 (#500) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +19.1 (#247) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +3.5 (#250) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.093 (#114) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -28.5 More → 0.027 (#280) NetEff -28.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -20.4 More → 0.087 (#108) AdjNet -20.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -20.5 More → 0.086 (#108) AdjNet -20.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 65.7 More → 0.407 (#506) AdjO 61.6 | AdjD 65.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.513 (#271) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.483 (#282) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 160 | GP 32 More → 960 (#243) RD 160 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-10 @ Ohio Bobcats L 52 - 81
2012-11-15 vs Idaho State Bengals W 51 - 48
2012-11-18 @ Montana State Bobcats L 64 - 83
2012-11-21 vs Portland State Vikings W 81 - 60
2012-11-25 @ New Mexico Lobos L 54 - 69
2012-11-27 vs Lewis & Clark Pioneers W 78 - 73
2012-12-01 @ Washington State Cougars L 60 - 72
2012-12-04 vs UNLV Rebels L 60 - 68
2012-12-08 @ Kentucky Wildcats L 46 - 74
2012-12-14 vs Portland Bible Wildcats W 95 - 66
2012-12-17 vs Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners W 69 - 51
2012-12-19 vs North Florida Ospreys W 74 - 64
2012-12-22 @ Colorado State Rams L 53 - 70
2012-12-23 @ Bradley Braves W 57 - 55
2012-12-29 vs UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros L 52 - 56
2013-01-03 @ San Diego Toreros L 50 - 61
2013-01-05 @ Pepperdine Waves L 47 - 54
2013-01-12 @ Loyola Marymount Lions W 68 - 64
2013-01-17 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs L 49 - 71
2013-01-19 vs Saint Mary's Gaels L 38 - 60
2013-01-24 vs San Francisco Dons L 72 - 75
2013-01-26 vs BYU Cougars L 67 - 85
2013-01-31 @ Santa Clara Broncos L 46 - 70
2013-02-02 @ Saint Mary's Gaels L 42 - 77
2013-02-07 vs Loyola Marymount Lions W 69 - 60
2013-02-09 vs Pepperdine Waves L 68 - 72
2013-02-14 @ San Francisco Dons W 78 - 76
2013-02-16 @ BYU Cougars L 72 - 86
2013-02-21 vs San Diego Toreros W 70 - 67
2013-02-23 vs Santa Clara Broncos L 63 - 75
2013-03-02 @ Gonzaga Bulldogs L 52 - 81
2013-03-06 vs Loyola Marymount Lions L 54 - 65

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
R. Nicholas R. Nicholas F 32 31.1 13.0 8.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 2.0 3.2 18.7 -164 -5.1 -7.1 40.8 40.6 72.2 -0.17 174.6 47.1
K. Bailey K. Bailey G 29 24.9 11.4 2.6 0.9 0.8 0.5 2.8 2.3 11.1 -120 -4.1 -7.2 46.3 41.2 77.3 -0.05 216.5 51.5
T. van der Mars T. van der Mars C 32 23.2 7.9 5.5 1.0 0.4 0.7 1.4 1.8 12.2 -59 -1.8 -3.6 64.9 0 70.6 0.78 196.2 64.9
D. Rodgers D. Rodgers G 32 25.7 6.2 2.6 3.4 0.8 0.2 2.8 1.4 9.0 -8 -0.4 -2.5 40.0 33.3 84.0 -0.36 178.6 42.2
T. Riley T. Riley G 29 14.1 5.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.8 1.6 4.6 -88 -3.0 -7.2 42.2 39.3 100.0 -0.21 170.6 54.4
D. Carr D. Carr G 17 22.0 4.6 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 1.1 1.5 6.5 33 1.8 4.5 42.3 46.2 66.7 0.95 142.8 53.8
K. Thieleke K. Thieleke G 30 19.6 4.2 2.5 0.9 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.5 6.9 -118 -3.9 -8.3 34.1 14.3 55.6 -0.51 122.3 36.4
O. Reinfelds O. Reinfelds G 27 15.9 4.1 1.8 1.3 0.5 0.0 1.4 1.8 4.6 -54 -2.0 -4.8 32.7 29.2 52.9 0.33 98.3 39.8
B. Pressley B. Pressley G 29 18.5 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.3 1.0 1.0 6.7 -176 -6.1 -12.0 53.3 22.2 78.6 -0.87 152.1 56.7
R. Barker R. Barker C 30 16.8 3.7 3.9 0.4 0.3 1.2 1.0 1.1 7.4 -162 -5.4 -11.5 47.1 25.0 50.0 -1.04 151.5 48.5
J. Ehlers J. Ehlers F 21 7.8 1.9 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.7 2.1 -23 -1.0 -4.6 20.0 0.0 66.7 0.17 105.5 20.0
D. Ahern D. Ahern G 8 4.0 0.8 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.2 -7 -0.7 -4.6 40.0 0.0 100.0 -0.07 51.0 40.0
J. Bailey J. Bailey F 22 5.0 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 1.4 - - - 22.2 0 75.0 -0.09 60.4 22.2

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG