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2012-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 1.1% 98.9% +24.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 14.3% 85.7% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +28 (74-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 0 1 2 15 29 -
K. Thieleke * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 3 9 14 -
K. Bailey * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 11 13 -
T. van der Mars * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
D. Carr * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 3 3 -
O. Reinfelds 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 2 7 -
D. Rodgers 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 0 -3 -
R. Barker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
T. Riley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ehlers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Goodwin * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 0 4 15 25 -
J. Mays * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 13 17 -
N. Noel * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 7 2 7 24 -
A. Poythress * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 3 15 20 -
K. Wiltjer * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 12 16 -
R. Harrow 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 6 1 0 1 8 18 -
W. Cauley-Stein 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 3 2 4 14 -
J. Polson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
T. Lanter 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Malone 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Hood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Beckham 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter