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2013-01-05

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Pepperdine Waves Spread Result
Elo 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 32.4% 67.6% +4.0 (3.0 off)
Pythagorean 17.2% 82.8% -
Efficiency 9.2% 90.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.0% 85.0% -

Actual: Pepperdine Waves +7 (54-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rodgers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 4 10 14 -
R. Nicholas * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 3 8 15 -
T. van der Mars * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 2 2 12 -
D. Carr * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 6 12 -
K. Thieleke * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -
R. Barker 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 0 0 5 -
O. Reinfelds 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 11 14 -
B. Pressley 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 3 1 4 12 -
T. Riley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 3 -
J. Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Davis * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 1 1 14 26 -
J. Baker * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 4 0 1 1 10 23 -
J. Raines * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 6 9 -
C. Willis * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 7 -
J. Maehlen * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
L. Jackson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 3 0 2 9 18 -
N. Skouen 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 7 -
A. Mills 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 8 9 -
M. De Freitas 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 0 5 -
A. Russell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter