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2012-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 8.7% 91.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 10.3% 89.7% +11.9 (13.9 off)
Pythagorean 23.6% 76.4% -
Efficiency 1.8% 98.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.8% 86.2% -
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% -

Actual: Bradley Braves -2 (55-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 12 2 0 0 5 12 21 -
D. Carr * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 8 11 -
K. Thieleke * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 1 1 3 -
T. Riley * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 6 6 -
T. van der Mars * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 2 8 -
D. Rodgers 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 12 16 -
R. Barker 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 2 4 6 15 -
O. Reinfelds 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 10 13 -
B. Pressley 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 0 5 -
J. Bailey 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Simms-Edwards * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 15 22 -
W. Lemon Jr. * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 6 0 3 10 19 -
W. Egolf * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 0 1 10 16 -
T. Pickett * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 3 0 1 9 16 -
J. Eastman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 0 0 9 18 -
J. Prosser 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
J. Crawford 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
S. Shayok 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter