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2013-02-14

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots San Francisco Dons Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 85.4% 14.6% -
Margin 7.2% 92.8% +14.0 (16.0 off)
Pythagorean 18.8% 81.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.2% 84.8% -
Log Adjusted 15.8% 84.2% -

Actual: San Francisco Dons -2 (76-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rodgers * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 0 2 1 4 18 -
K. Bailey * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 3 18 21 -
B. Pressley * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 0 1 4 4 8 -
R. Nicholas * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 15 23 -
T. van der Mars * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 2 1 14 25 -
T. Riley 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 11 11 -
R. Barker 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 8 12 -
J. Ehlers 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 4 6 -
O. Reinfelds 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dickerson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 17 21 -
C. Adams * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 3 17 15 -
C. Doolin * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 6 2 0 1 11 21 -
T. Derksen * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
D. Parker 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 0 14 22 -
A. Holmes 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 12 15 -
M. Christiansen 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 0 4 -
F. Rogers 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 2 8 -
T. Xu 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
M. Tollefsen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter