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2013-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 96.4% 3.6% -
Bradley-Terry 93.7% 6.3% -
Margin 98.1% 1.9% -21.8 (0.2 off)
Pythagorean 87.7% 12.3% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.7% 3.3% -
Log Adjusted 96.7% 3.3% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -22 (49-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Harris * 30 5-16 0-1 0-0 9 0 2 0 1 10 4 -
K. Pangos * 30 5-9 4-8 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 14 7 -
K. Olynyk * 19 8-9 0-0 5-6 8 0 1 2 3 21 20 -
G. Bell Jr. * 19 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
M. Hart * 17 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 4 8 -
D. Stockton 26 0-3 0-2 1-3 4 4 2 0 1 1 7 -
S. Dower 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
P. Karnowski 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 0 -2 -
G. Edi 12 2-3 1-1 2-2 1 0 1 0 0 7 6 -
D. Barham 11 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
K. Dranginis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Rodgers * 34 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 4 3 -
K. Bailey * 30 7-9 0-1 2-5 0 0 1 0 4 16 4 -
T. van der Mars * 19 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
K. Thieleke * 14 0-5 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 2 -4 -
J. Bailey * 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Nicholas 32 2-5 1-1 2-2 8 2 2 0 4 7 10 -
R. Barker 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 4 2 2 3 -
O. Reinfelds 22 4-8 2-4 2-2 2 3 2 0 1 12 10 -
B. Pressley 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
D. Ahern 6 1-4 0-1 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 4 0 -
T. Riley 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Ehlers 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter