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2013-01-24

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 70.7% 29.3% -
Bradley-Terry 8.8% 91.2% -
Margin 81.2% 18.8% -8.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 75.2% 24.8% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.8% 21.2% -
Log Adjusted 78.2% 21.8% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -3 (72-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Dickerson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 0 0 15 23 -
C. Doolin * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 1 0 2 7 15 -
T. Derksen * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 8 8 -
C. Adams * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 8 10 -
D. Parker 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 16 15 -
M. Christiansen 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 2 9 -
M. Tollefsen 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 5 -
T. Xu 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 5 6 5 -
A. Holmes 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 9 12 -
F. Rogers 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 23 30 -
D. Rodgers * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 4 9 12 -
O. Reinfelds * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 2 3 3 -
K. Bailey * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 15 16 -
T. van der Mars * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 6 8 -
B. Pressley 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 5 14 -
R. Barker 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 2 2 5 -
K. Thieleke 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 1 2 6 10 -
J. Ehlers 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
D. Ahern 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter