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2012-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 14.2% 85.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 7.0% 93.0% +14.3 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 7.2% 92.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Colorado State Rams +17 (70-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 15 19 -
K. Thieleke * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 7 10 -
D. Carr * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 4 6 -
T. van der Mars * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 3 7 -
K. Bailey * 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Riley 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 9 -
R. Barker 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 1 1 11 21 -
O. Reinfelds 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 0 3 -
D. Rodgers 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 2 3 -
B. Pressley 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Bailey 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Hornung * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 0 0 24 36 -
W. Eikmeier * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 0 0 14 20 -
C. Iverson * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 1 0 2 9 16 -
D. Green * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 3 0 4 5 6 -
G. Smith * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
D. Bejarano 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 0 0 10 22 -
J. Octeus 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
G. Santo 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -

* = starter