Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.7% | 97.3% | +23.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.8% | 87.2% | +21.1 | ✓ (6.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.6% | 96.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.8% | 97.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (69-54). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korey Thieleke * | 37 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 16 | -0.6 |
| Ryan Nicholas * | 25 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | -9.0 |
| Kevin Bailey * | 21 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | -7.0 |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -15.2 |
| David Carr * | 15 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -11.2 |
| Derrick Rodgers | 25 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Riley Barker | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +11.8 |
| Tanner Riley | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -5.9 |
| Bryce Pressley | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.4 |
| Oskar Reinfelds | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +7.8 |
| John Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1.9 |
| Jake Ehlers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Fenton * | 27 | 4-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | -2.4 |
| Alex Kirk * | 26 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 14 | +10.6 |
| Tony Snell * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +9.5 |
| Chad Adams * | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | +4.9 |
| Hugh Greenwood * | 20 | 3-8 | 0-5 | 4-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +4.6 |
| Kendall Williams | 25 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | +4.4 |
| Cameron Bairstow | 23 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 17 | -2.3 |
| Demetrius Walker | 15 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -4.9 |
| Nick Banyard | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -5.5 |
| Pancake Thomas | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +1.1 |
| Kory Alford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.5 |
* = starter