Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.1% | 78.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.8% | 93.2% | +14.4 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 7.4% | 92.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +15 (69-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Thieleke * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 26 | - |
| R. Nicholas * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 18 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| D. Carr * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| R. Barker | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| T. Riley | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Pressley | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| O. Reinfelds | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Fenton * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 15 | - |
| A. Kirk * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 24 | - |
| T. Snell * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| C. Adams * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| H. Greenwood * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 17 | - |
| K. Williams | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| C. Bairstow | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 22 | - |
| D. Walker | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | - |
| N. Banyard | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Thomas | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Alford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter