Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.1% | 91.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.2% | 90.8% | +12.6 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.1% | 96.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.2% | 96.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +24 (70-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | - |
| O. Reinfelds * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 26 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Pressley | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | - |
| R. Barker | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Ahern | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bailey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Trasolini * | 32 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | - |
| K. Foster * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| E. Roquemore * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | - |
| R. Cowels III * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Y. Atanga * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | - |
| B. Clark | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | - |
| J. Clarke | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. McArthur | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Harrison | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Perricone | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter