Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Santa Clara Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Santa Clara Broncos +24 (70-46). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nicholas * | 30 | 4-14 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 6 | -12.9 |
| Oskar Reinfelds * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | -5.4 |
| Derrick Rodgers * | 28 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | -17.6 |
| Kevin Bailey * | 26 | 0-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -7 | -3.3 |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +6.2 |
| Bryce Pressley | 31 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 14 | -5.8 |
| Riley Barker | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -15.9 |
| Jake Ehlers | 10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -2.9 |
| Korey Thieleke | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8.2 |
| David Ahern | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.2 |
| John Bailey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.2 |
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marc Trasolini * | 32 | 11-17 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 21 | +16.4 |
| Kevin Foster * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 8 | +23.0 |
| Evan Roquemore * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -3.9 |
| Raymond Cowels III * | 23 | 4-7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 4 | +13.5 |
| Yannick Atanga * | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | +14.9 |
| Brandon Clark | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 11 | +4.9 |
| Julian Clarke | 18 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4.7 |
| John McArthur | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3.2 |
| Niyi Harrison | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.9 |
| Denzel Johnson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.9 |
| Kyle Perricone | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter