Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.4% | 41.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 22 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 18 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| T. Riley * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| D. Carr * | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| D. Rodgers | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | - |
| O. Reinfelds | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 20 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Barker | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| B. Pressley | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Biglow * | 36 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| F. Davis * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 6-9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| M. Colbert * | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 13 | - |
| J. Stewart * | 18 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 2-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| P. Egwuonwu * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| C. Coleman | 25 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Robison | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13 | - |
| M. Dison | 16 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| E. Norman | 12 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| B. Brumwell | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter