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Model Predictions

Model Portland Pilots Montana State Bobcats Spread Result
Elo 60.5% 39.5% -2.7 โœ— (21.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 52.8% 47.2% -1.2 โœ— (20.2 off)
Pythagorean 26.8% 73.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 47.6% 52.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 44.2% 55.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 50.9% 49.1% - โœ—

Actual: Montana State Bobcats +19 (83-64). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings (they include this game).

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Nicholas * 27 2-9 0-2 5-7 7 2 3 0 2 9 10 -15.1
Thomas van der Mars * 22 6-7 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 13 6 -14.7
Kevin Bailey * 18 5-8 1-2 2-2 1 2 1 1 3 13 7 -15.7
Tanner Riley * 18 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -15.9
David Carr * 17 2-3 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 5 1 -15.8
Derrick Rodgers 23 2-3 0-0 2-2 3 2 2 0 7 6 3 -2.6
Oskar Reinfelds 20 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -10.1
Korey Thieleke 20 2-5 1-4 1-3 2 1 0 0 1 6 3 +0.4
Riley Barker 18 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 0 4 9 -4.5
Bryce Pressley 13 2-3 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 6 -0.9
Jake Ehlers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.8
John Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -2.0

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Antonio Biglow * 36 8-13 4-8 3-5 2 2 3 1 3 23 15 +21.4
Flavien Davis * 29 3-7 1-2 6-9 2 2 1 0 0 13 11 +21.1
Marcus Colbert * 24 1-1 0-0 5-6 5 4 0 0 2 7 13 +9.2
Jamie Stewart * 18 4-8 1-1 2-6 5 1 0 0 1 11 8 -
Paul Egwuonwu * 12 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 1 2 0 3 2 5 +7.2
Calen Coleman 25 4-6 2-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 12 6 +7.4
Danny Robison 23 1-1 0-0 5-6 6 1 1 0 1 7 13 +4.7
Michael Dison 16 1-7 0-2 2-2 4 2 2 0 1 4 4 +4.3
Eric Norman 12 2-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 5 -1.5
Blake Brumwell 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +2.2

* = starter