Model Predictions
| Model | BYU Cougars | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.4% | 16.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 98.0% | 2.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.3% | 24.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -18 (67-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
BYU Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Carlino * | 37 | 10-17 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 17 | +5.4 |
| Tyler Haws * | 35 | 5-14 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 11 | +2.8 |
| Brandon Davies * | 34 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 18 | +13.7 |
| Josh Sharp * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -4.5 |
| Brock Zylstra * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +3.7 |
| Nate Austin | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -2.1 |
| Anson Winder | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +1.8 |
| Craig Cusick | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -4.7 |
| Agustin Ambrosino | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.6 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nicholas * | 32 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 16 | +2.5 |
| Oskar Reinfelds * | 28 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -7.1 |
| Derrick Rodgers * | 28 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | -6.0 |
| Kevin Bailey * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | -12.8 |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Bryce Pressley | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | +6.1 |
| Riley Barker | 17 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -0.1 |
| Korey Thieleke | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +5.3 |
| Jake Ehlers | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3.0 |
| Tanner Riley | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +3.6 |
* = starter