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2013-02-09

Model Predictions

Model Pepperdine Waves Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 25.5% 74.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.5% 52.5% -
Margin 41.3% 58.7% +1.9 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.8% 23.2% -
Efficiency 84.8% 15.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Log Adjusted 79.0% 21.0% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pepperdine Waves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Jackson * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 6 3 1 3 22 36 -
J. Baker * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 3 4 12 16 -
N. Skouen * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 12 14 -
M. De Freitas * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 4 1 1 6 20 -
S. Davis * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 3 11 16 -
J. Raines 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 6 11 -
A. Mills 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 1 0 2 3 6 -
J. Maehlen 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
A. Russell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 3 1 1 11 27 -
D. Rodgers * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 7 1 1 4 17 30 -
T. van der Mars * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 2 12 26 -
K. Bailey * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 2 3 4 12 18 -
B. Pressley * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 1 10 17 -
O. Reinfelds 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 0 5 -
T. Riley 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -
K. Thieleke 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 1 -
R. Barker 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Ehlers 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter