Model Predictions
| Model | Pepperdine Waves | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 41.3% | 58.7% | +1.9 | ✗ (5.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.8% | 23.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 84.8% | 15.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.2% | 19.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -4 (68-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Jackson * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 36 | - |
| J. Baker * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 16 | - |
| N. Skouen * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| M. De Freitas * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 20 | - |
| S. Davis * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 16 | - |
| J. Raines | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| A. Mills | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| J. Maehlen | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Russell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Nicholas * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 27 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 30 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 18 | - |
| B. Pressley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| O. Reinfelds | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| T. Riley | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Barker | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter