Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Portland Pilots | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.9% | 17.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.2% | 11.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.4% | 0.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Portland Pilots -8 (60-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katin Reinhardt * | 33 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -3 | -18.9 |
| Anthony Marshall * | 30 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 18 | -5.3 |
| Anthony Bennett * | 29 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-8 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 16 | -9.4 |
| Quintrell Thomas * | 28 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -15.7 |
| Bryce Dejean-Jones * | 21 | 0-9 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -13.8 |
| Justin Hawkins | 28 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | +0.2 |
| Carlos Lopez-Sosa | 21 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -5.2 |
| Savon Goodman | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +3.4 |
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Nicholas * | 37 | 6-14 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 25 | +18.6 |
| Korey Thieleke * | 33 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 4 | +11.4 |
| David Carr * | 31 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +16.7 |
| Thomas van der Mars * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 15 | +13.3 |
| Kevin Bailey * | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -6 | +8.5 |
| Oskar Reinfelds | 21 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -3 | +8.2 |
| Riley Barker | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -0.3 |
| Derrick Rodgers | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.8 |
| Tanner Riley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
| John Bailey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.2 |
* = starter