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2012-12-04

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 64.0% 36.0% -
Bradley-Terry 67.8% 32.2% -
Margin 78.6% 21.4% -7.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 86.5% 13.5% -
Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.2% 3.8% -
Log Adjusted 96.2% 3.8% -

Actual: Portland Pilots -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Reinhardt * 33 2-10 0-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 3 4 -3 -
A. Marshall * 30 5-11 1-3 5-6 6 4 3 1 1 16 18 -
A. Bennett * 29 6-11 1-3 5-8 6 0 3 1 1 18 16 -
Q. Thomas * 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 7 1 1 0 1 9 11 -
B. Dejean-Jones * 21 0-9 0-6 2-4 8 2 0 0 3 2 0 -
J. Hawkins 28 5-10 4-9 1-3 1 2 3 2 2 15 11 -
C. Lopez-Sosa 21 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 2 2 3 5 -
S. Goodman 10 0-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 1 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nicholas * 37 6-14 1-5 2-3 19 6 1 0 2 15 25 -
K. Thieleke * 33 5-12 1-3 1-2 4 0 1 1 2 12 4 -
D. Carr * 31 3-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 9 8 -
T. van der Mars * 25 5-6 0-0 1-2 9 1 0 2 2 11 15 -
K. Bailey * 21 1-6 0-1 0-0 1 0 3 1 7 2 -6 -
O. Reinfelds 21 2-8 0-2 0-1 3 2 0 0 4 4 -3 -
R. Barker 16 3-6 0-0 1-1 1 1 0 0 1 7 2 -
D. Rodgers 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
T. Riley 5 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
J. Bailey 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter