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Northwestern

Also known as: Northwestern Wildcats, Northwestern
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

72.9
PPG
71.5
Opp
+1.4
Margin
46.1%
FG%
33.0%
3P%
74.7%
FT%
30.4
RPG
17.1
APG
8.4
TO
73.4
Pace
76.5
AdjO
64.8
AdjD
#57
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1015 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1094 (#96) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 963 (#579) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +11.7 (#57) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +23.5 (#64) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.555 (#143) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +8.9 More → 0.726 (#99) NetEff +8.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +15.2 More → 0.853 (#57) AdjNet +15.2
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +15.4 More → 0.856 (#56) AdjNet +15.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 64.8 More → 0.744 (#57) AdjO 76.5 | AdjD 64.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 67.6 More → 0.600 (#119) AdjO 72.1 | AdjD 67.6
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.861 (#75) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.820 (#79) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 130 | GP 33 More → 1106 (#131) RD 130 | GP 33

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Mercyhurst Lakers W 70 - 47
2025-11-07 vs Boston University Terriers W 76 - 52
2025-11-10 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 110 - 63
2025-11-14 @ DePaul Blue Demons W 81 - 79
2025-11-21 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 78 - 83
2025-11-23 vs South Carolina Gamecocks W 79 - 77
2025-11-27 vs Oklahoma State Cowboys L 81 - 86
2025-12-03 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 73 - 85
2025-12-13 vs Jackson State Tigers W 93 - 53
2025-12-16 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 86 - 70
2025-12-20 @ Butler Bulldogs L 58 - 61
2025-12-30 vs Howard Bison W 80 - 60
2026-01-03 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers L 78 - 84
2026-01-08 @ Michigan State Spartans L 66 - 76
2026-01-11 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 75 - 77
2026-01-14 vs Illinois Fighting Illini L 68 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Nebraska Cornhuskers L 58 - 77
2026-01-21 @ USC Trojans W 74 - 68
2026-01-24 @ UCLA Bruins L 64 - 71
2026-01-29 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 94 - 73
2026-01-31 vs Washington Huskies L 62 - 76
2026-02-04 @ Illinois Fighting Illini L 44 - 84
2026-02-08 @ Iowa Hawkeyes L 70 - 76
2026-02-11 vs Michigan Wolverines L 75 - 87
2026-02-14 @ Nebraska Cornhuskers L 49 - 68
2026-02-18 vs Maryland Terrapins W 78 - 74
2026-02-24 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 72 - 68
2026-02-28 vs Oregon Ducks W 63 - 62
2026-03-04 vs Purdue Boilermakers L 66 - 70
2026-03-07 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers L 66 - 67
2026-03-10 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 76 - 66
2026-03-11 @ Indiana Hoosiers W 74 - 61
2026-03-12 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 68 - 81

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
N. Martinelli N. Martinelli - 32 35.5 22.7 6.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 1.4 15.9 14.6 -11 -0.5 -0.8 50.6 41.0 80.8 0.57 60.4 54.8
J. Reid J. Reid G 33 25.7 10.1 1.4 5.0 1.0 0.2 1.8 8.5 7.3 -16 -0.7 -1.3 39.7 32.0 81.2 0.13 51.4 45.2
A. Page A. Page F 28 22.4 10.1 4.3 1.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 7.0 10.1 29 1.3 2.5 54.6 24.4 65.6 0.64 60.1 57.1
Tre Singleton Tre Singleton - 33 25.5 7.8 4.9 1.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 5.9 8.5 41 1.8 3.3 47.9 17.0 73.8 0.81 55.6 50.3
A. Ciaravino A. Ciaravino - 32 21.7 6.0 3.8 1.2 0.4 0.6 0.3 4.8 6.8 65 3.0 6.2 50.6 27.5 56.5 1.0 55.4 54.2
Jake West Jake West - 32 22.4 5.5 0.8 2.9 0.6 0.2 1.0 4.8 4.3 95 4.1 10.1 40.3 36.4 77.4 1.54 52.5 49.4
M. Green M. Green - 23 14.7 4.3 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.3 4.3 3.2 6 0.3 0.8 37.0 33.8 60.0 0.02 48.9 48.5
J. Clayton J. Clayton - 30 18.2 3.8 1.7 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.4 3.1 4.0 59 3.0 10.8 40.9 40.5 53.3 0.44 57.2 57.0
J. Mullins J. Mullins - 23 13.8 3.3 1.7 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.6 2.7 3.4 48 2.7 18.8 45.9 33.3 50.0 0.28 54.5 54.1
K.J. Windham K.J. Windham - 13 11.6 3.2 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.1 0.2 3.0 2.9 -10 -0.8 -2.9 30.8 32.3 100.0 -0.24 48.7 43.6
Tyler Kropp Tyler Kropp - 30 12.2 3.2 2.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 2.5 3.4 -24 -1.2 -4.9 44.7 27.3 92.3 -0.09 54.3 46.7
G. Hurlburt G. Hurlburt - 2 2.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0 4 2.0 400.0 100.0 0 100.0 0.03 106.4 100.0
Phoenix Gill Phoenix Gill - 11 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 8 1.0 18.5 12.5 0.0 75.0 0.14 25.6 12.5
B. Smith B. Smith G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - 268 11.2 20.3 - - - 1.13 - -
Cade Bennerman Cade Bennerman F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG