NC State
2010 Team Stats (35 games)
67.0
PPG
64.3
Opp
+2.7
Margin
43.6%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
68.3%
FT%
35.0
RPG
13.5
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.2
Adj PPG
59.8
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 1192 (#72) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 1140 (#82) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 1048 (#105) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +9.2 (#67) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | +8.7 (#64) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.592 (#119) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.834 (#67) | AdjNet +14.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.839 (#66) | AdjNet +14.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.683 (#67) | AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 59.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.604 (#79) | AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 60.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.721 (#65) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.706 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1154 (#70) | RD 104 | GP 36 |
2010 Schedule & Results
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.