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NC State

Also known as: NC State Wolfpack, NC State
Program History

2010 Team Stats (35 games)

67.0
PPG
64.3
Opp
+2.7
Margin
43.6%
FG%
33.4%
3P%
68.3%
FT%
35.0
RPG
13.5
APG
13.1
TO
-
Est. poss./game
68.2
Adj PPG
59.8
Adj Opp PPG
#67
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 1192 (#72) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1140 (#82) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1048 (#105) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ +9.2 (#67) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ +8.7 (#64) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.592 (#119) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +14.0 More โ†’ 0.834 (#67) AdjNet +14.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +14.3 More โ†’ 0.839 (#66) AdjNet +14.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 59.8 More โ†’ 0.683 (#67) AdjO 68.2 | AdjD 59.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 60.1 More โ†’ 0.604 (#79) AdjO 64.8 | AdjD 60.1
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.721 (#65) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.706 (#67) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 104 | GP 36 More โ†’ 1154 (#70) RD 104 | GP 36

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-12 vs Georgia State Panthers W 69 - 53
2009-11-20 @ Akron Zips W 66 - 45
2009-11-21 vs Austin Peay Governors W 66 - 59
2009-11-22 vs Auburn Tigers W 60 - 58
2009-11-29 vs LSU New Orleans Privateers W 69 - 52
2009-12-01 vs Northwestern Wildcats L 53 - 65
2009-12-05 @ Marquette Golden Eagles W 77 - 73
2009-12-12 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 75 - 57
2009-12-17 vs Elon Phoenix W 79 - 76
2009-12-20 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 59 - 67
2009-12-23 @ Arizona Wildcats L 74 - 76
2009-12-29 vs Winthrop Eagles W 68 - 52
2009-12-31 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 89 - 67
2010-01-03 vs Florida Gators L 61 - 62
2010-01-06 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 87 - 70
2010-01-09 vs Virginia Cavaliers L 62 - 70
2010-01-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 88 - 81
2010-01-16 vs Clemson Tigers L 70 - 73
2010-01-20 vs Duke Blue Devils W 88 - 74
2010-01-23 @ Maryland Terrapins L 64 - 88
2010-01-26 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 63 - 77
2010-01-30 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 77 - 42
2010-02-03 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 47 - 59
2010-02-06 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 71 - 73
2010-02-10 vs Virginia Tech Hokies L 52 - 72
2010-02-13 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 61 - 74
2010-02-17 vs Maryland Terrapins L 58 - 67
2010-02-20 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 68 - 54
2010-02-27 @ Miami Hurricanes W 71 - 66
2010-03-03 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 59 - 71
2010-03-07 vs Boston College Eagles W 66 - 54
2010-03-11 @ Clemson Tigers W 59 - 57
2010-03-12 @ Florida State Seminoles W 58 - 52
2010-03-13 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets L 54 - 57
2010-03-16 @ South Florida Bulls W 58 - 57
2010-03-20 @ UAB Blazers L 52 - 72

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.