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2010-03-03

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 52.5% 47.5% -
Margin 45.3% 54.7% +1.0 (11.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.3% 62.7% -
Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.6% 72.4% -
Log Adjusted 27.6% 72.4% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +12 (71-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horner 33 3-9 1-5 4-5 8 0 0 0 3 11 7 -
T. Smith 32 4-11 0-0 4-5 4 2 0 0 4 12 3 -
J. Gonzalez 31 6-13 1-4 3-3 4 2 2 0 4 16 7 -
C.J. Williams 27 1-5 0-1 2-2 5 1 2 0 1 4 6 -
S. Wood 22 3-7 1-3 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
F. Degand 19 1-2 0-1 0-2 3 2 0 0 3 2 2 -
J. Mays 14 2-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
R. Howell 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 3 0 0 -
D. Painter 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Davis 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. Thomas 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 37 6-12 3-6 6-6 2 2 0 0 3 21 10 -
D. Hudson 37 7-14 0-2 7-9 1 4 1 0 0 21 13 -
T. Bell 34 0-3 0-1 0-2 7 5 2 1 3 0 9 -
J. Allen 33 6-10 0-1 6-9 9 0 0 2 2 18 17 -
L. Witcher 21 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 4 4 -
J. Thompson 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 4 5 -
V. Davila 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
E. Green 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Atkins 2 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
P. Debnam 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 1 0 0 1 2 -
B. Boggs 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter