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2010-01-09

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 69.1% 30.9% -
Bradley-Terry 51.4% 48.6% -
Margin 43.4% 56.6% +1.5 (9.5 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 21.2% 78.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% -
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Zeglinski 36 2-4 2-2 4-4 8 3 0 0 1 10 16 -
S. Landesberg 32 7-14 1-1 8-8 5 0 1 1 2 23 14 -
M. Scott 30 5-11 0-0 4-4 7 2 0 0 3 14 9 -
M. Farrakhan 21 0-4 0-3 3-4 3 1 1 0 2 3 2 -
W. Sherrill 20 1-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 0 2 3 -
J. Jones 18 3-3 2-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 8 7 -
J. Meyinsse 18 3-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 6 6 -
C. Baker 15 1-4 0-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 3 -
J. Evans 10 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 3 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 33 6-12 0-0 6-10 9 2 0 0 2 18 15 -
S. Wood 32 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 3 -
J. Gonzalez 31 2-9 0-3 2-3 5 3 1 0 1 6 5 -
D. Horner 29 5-10 0-2 2-3 2 1 1 0 1 12 5 -
C.J. Williams 25 2-4 1-1 0-0 2 4 0 1 2 5 6 -
F. Degand 15 1-2 1-2 2-4 3 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
R. Howell 10 2-3 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 1 5 4 -
J. Mays 9 0-2 0-2 3-4 0 2 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Davis 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Vandenberg 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -

* = starter