Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.4% | 56.6% | +1.5 | ✗ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.9% | 58.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -8 (62-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Zeglinski | 36 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Landesberg | 32 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 8-8 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 23 | 14 | - |
| M. Scott | 30 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 20 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Jones | 18 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| C. Baker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Evans | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 33 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 15 | - |
| S. Wood | 32 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 31 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| D. Horner | 29 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 25 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| F. Degand | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Howell | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Mays | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Davis | 9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter