Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Arizona Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | -0.1 | ✗ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 68.0% | 32.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arizona Wildcats +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood | 28 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. Mays | 27 | 4-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - |
| D. Horner | 24 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -1 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 24 | 6-11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 21 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 11 | - |
| D. Painter | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Howell | 13 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| F. Degand | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| K. Smith | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arizona Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Fogg | 34 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Williams | 30 | 10-17 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| S. Hill | 29 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Horne | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| N. Wise | 26 | 5-10 | 2-3 | 6-8 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Lavender | 20 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| L. Jones | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Jacobson | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| K. Parrom | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Natyazhko | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter