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2010-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 75.5% 24.5% -
Bradley-Terry 43.4% 56.6% -
Margin 41.6% 58.4% +1.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% -
Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 67.2% 32.8% -
Log Adjusted 67.5% 32.5% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Werner 40 3-9 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 6 4 -
E. Walker 38 4-14 1-7 4-6 3 6 4 0 2 13 10 -
K. Boynton 35 3-13 1-7 0-0 6 2 2 0 1 7 3 -
A. Tyus 34 5-11 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 1 2 11 6 -
C. Parsons 26 1-5 1-4 2-2 6 3 3 0 2 5 10 -
V. Macklin 23 7-10 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 14 9 -
E. Murphy 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Shipman 11 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 2 -
K. McClanahan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wood 42 4-10 4-8 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 12 9 -
T. Smith 40 9-16 0-0 3-5 9 0 1 0 1 21 14 -
D. Horner 33 1-7 0-3 3-5 7 3 0 0 1 5 7 -
J. Gonzalez 31 4-9 2-6 3-4 6 1 1 1 6 13 7 -
F. Degand 31 2-4 1-2 1-5 6 4 1 0 1 6 12 -
C.J. Williams 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 2 1 -
J. Mays 14 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 3 2 0 1 0 1 -
R. Howell 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 0 2 -
J. Vandenberg 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
J. Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter