Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (17.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 5.1% | 94.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.6% | 61.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack -12 (53-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Shurna | 40 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| M. Thompson | 40 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| J. Nash | 33 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 20 | - |
| L. Mirkovic | 28 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Crawford | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| K. Rowley | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Peljusic | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Curletti | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gonzalez | 36 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Smith | 35 | 9-18 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 15 | - |
| D. Horner | 33 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - |
| S. Wood | 32 | 0-6 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Mays | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 15 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Painter | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter