🐻⬇️🏀

Auburn Tigers 58
@
NC State Wolfpack 60
2009-11-22

Model Predictions

Model Auburn Tigers NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 70.1% 29.9% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 30.6% 69.4% - ✓
Margin 23.7% 76.3% +6.4 ✓ (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 37.0% 63.0% - ✓
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Log Adjusted 28.2% 71.8% - ✓

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +2 (60-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Auburn Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Reed 38 3-11 2-5 1-4 8 4 1 1 4 9 8 -
F. Sullivan 36 7-14 6-11 1-1 4 4 0 2 2 21 15 -
L. Hargrove 36 4-6 0-2 1-1 7 2 0 0 3 9 9 -
A. Malone 23 1-7 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 4 -2 -
B. Knox 22 3-4 0-0 1-3 2 0 2 3 2 7 8 -
J. Lett 21 3-6 0-0 0-4 6 1 1 1 1 6 8 -
E. Ross 20 1-5 0-2 0-0 6 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
T. Neysmith 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
T. Armstrong 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wood 35 4-9 1-5 1-1 6 2 1 1 2 10 9 -
J. Gonzalez 32 3-9 1-4 3-4 6 6 1 0 4 10 10 -
T. Smith 32 4-18 0-0 3-6 15 0 2 0 1 11 9 -
D. Horner 29 6-13 2-4 2-2 5 2 0 1 1 16 10 -
C.J. Williams 26 3-6 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 0 6 7 -
J. Mays 22 1-4 1-4 2-2 1 1 0 0 2 5 1 -
D. Painter 10 0-2 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
J. Vandenberg 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Davis 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter