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2010-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Wake Forest Demon Deacons NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 38.2% 61.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 15.8% 84.2% +9.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.3% 63.7% -
Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Log Adjusted 48.6% 51.4% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +14 (68-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L.D. Williams 39 5-11 0-1 2-4 11 1 2 0 1 12 14 -
I. Smith 35 6-16 0-2 0-3 4 5 1 0 5 12 1 -
A. Aminu 34 6-12 0-1 3-4 14 0 2 2 6 15 15 -
C.J. Harris 24 0-9 0-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 0 -6 -
C. McFarland 20 2-7 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 1 6 7 -4 -
A. Stewart 18 1-6 0-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 -1 -
T. Woods 17 2-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 4 6 -
D. Weaver 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
G. Clark 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 35 4-8 0-0 6-6 4 1 1 0 2 14 10 -
D. Horner 34 3-7 0-1 4-4 12 3 2 3 1 10 22 -
J. Gonzalez 29 3-8 1-3 4-5 0 6 4 0 2 11 11 -
C.J. Williams 24 4-8 2-3 2-3 3 1 0 2 3 12 7 -
F. Degand 23 4-8 2-4 3-4 2 2 2 0 3 13 8 -
S. Wood 23 1-3 1-1 1-2 0 1 1 1 2 4 2 -
J. Mays 11 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Davis 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
R. Howell 8 2-4 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 2 4 4 -
D. Painter 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter