Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.7% | 65.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.5% | 70.5% | +4.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.8% | 27.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +12 (59-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 34 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| F. Degand | 32 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| S. Wood | 30 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Howell | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| D. Horner | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 21 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | - |
| J. Mays | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Davis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Painter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Landesberg | 35 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| S. Zeglinski | 31 | 3-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| C. Baker | 23 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| J. Meyinsse | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| W. Sherrill | 23 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Scott | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 16 | - |
| M. Farrakhan | 21 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Sene | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Evans | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter