Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Marquette Golden Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | +2.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles -4 (73-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 20 | - |
| D. Horner | 33 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 27 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 2-5 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 12 | - |
| S. Wood | 24 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 24 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| J. Davis | 16 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Mays | 16 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| F. Degand | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Howell | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Painter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Marquette Golden Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Hayward | 37 | 6-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 2 | - |
| J. Butler III | 34 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 5-6 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 20 | - |
| D. Johnson-Odom | 34 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 8 | - |
| D. Cubillan | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Buycks | 30 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -1 | - |
| M. Acker | 18 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| J. Fulce | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
* = starter