Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.0% | 37.0% | -2.9 | ✗ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.4% | 54.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Horner | 35 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Wood | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 4 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 31 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Smith | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| F. Degand | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Davis | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Mays | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. Howell | 6 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| D. Painter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Smith | 38 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| A. Aminu | 31 | 7-11 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | - |
| C.J. Harris | 28 | 3-10 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | - |
| L.D. Williams | 27 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | - |
| C. McFarland | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| A. Stewart | 18 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| D. Weaver | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| G. Clark | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. Woods | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter