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2009-12-20

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Wake Forest Demon Deacons Spread Result
Elo 44.8% 55.2% -
Bradley-Terry 63.3% 36.7% -
Margin 63.0% 37.0% -2.9 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 57.7% 42.3% -
Efficiency 89.6% 10.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 45.1% 54.9% -
Log Adjusted 45.4% 54.6% -

Actual: Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8 (67-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Horner 35 2-8 1-3 3-4 4 0 4 1 1 8 8 -
S. Wood 32 4-8 1-4 2-3 0 0 1 1 1 11 4 -
J. Gonzalez 31 6-13 3-7 3-5 8 3 1 0 4 18 13 -
T. Smith 23 5-12 0-0 1-2 10 0 1 0 1 11 9 -
C.J. Williams 21 2-6 0-2 0-0 4 3 0 2 2 4 5 -
F. Degand 13 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
J. Davis 13 1-1 0-0 2-5 2 1 0 1 2 4 5 -
J. Vandenberg 11 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 0 0 1 -
J. Mays 10 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Howell 6 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
D. Painter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. Smith 38 5-13 0-1 0-1 4 7 2 2 2 10 10 -
A. Aminu 31 7-11 1-1 3-5 13 3 2 1 7 18 19 -
C.J. Harris 28 3-10 1-4 3-4 4 0 1 0 1 10 4 -
L.D. Williams 27 1-3 0-0 3-4 8 2 4 0 1 5 15 -
C. McFarland 20 3-8 0-1 3-8 5 0 0 1 1 9 6 -
A. Stewart 18 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
D. Weaver 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 4 0 4 8 -
G. Clark 10 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -
T. Woods 10 1-3 0-0 0-1 5 0 0 0 2 2 2 -

* = starter