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2010-02-10

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Tech Hokies NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 39.7% 60.3% -
Bradley-Terry 33.7% 66.3% -
Margin 27.9% 72.1% +5.2 (25.2 off)
Pythagorean 56.7% 43.3% -
Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 66.4% 33.6% -
Log Adjusted 66.4% 33.6% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack -20 (52-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Delaney 38 4-10 1-3 6-7 4 5 1 1 4 15 12 -
D. Hudson 34 9-13 2-4 3-6 4 2 0 0 2 23 14 -
J. Allen 26 5-7 0-0 4-5 8 2 1 4 4 14 18 -
V. Davila 23 1-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 4 1 2 4 -
T. Bell 19 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 1 0 2 6 -
E. Green 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
J. Thompson 18 6-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 0 12 12 -
C. Raines 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 1 0 3 -
B. Boggs 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -
M. Atkins 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Witcher 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
P. Debnam 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wood 33 1-7 0-2 2-2 3 3 0 1 0 4 4 -
D. Horner 33 6-15 0-2 1-3 16 1 1 0 6 13 10 -
T. Smith 32 4-12 0-0 4-6 7 1 0 3 5 12 6 -
J. Davis 31 5-9 0-0 2-5 6 1 0 0 1 12 9 -
F. Degand 20 0-4 0-3 2-2 0 0 1 0 1 2 -2 -
J. Gonzalez 17 1-8 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 2 -6 -
J. Mays 16 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Painter 9 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 4 -
R. Howell 3 0-1 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -
J. Vandenberg 2 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 2 1 -
J. Thomas 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C.J. Williams 2 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter