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2009-12-29

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 15.0% 85.0% -
Bradley-Terry 9.2% 90.8% -
Margin 2.4% 97.6% +20.3 (4.3 off)
Efficiency 5.1% 94.9% -

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (68-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Corbin 31 3-9 0-2 0-0 7 0 1 0 0 6 5 -
A. Buechert 27 3-6 0-0 1-4 8 0 0 1 1 7 9 -
M. Robinson 25 0-6 0-2 2-2 5 0 2 1 0 2 4 -
R. Middleton 22 2-8 0-4 0-0 4 4 2 1 1 4 6 -
G. Gamble 19 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R. Dreher 18 6-10 2-5 0-3 3 1 1 0 2 14 7 -
M. Morgan 18 2-12 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 -4 -
J. Burton 16 0-4 0-1 4-5 2 3 0 0 1 4 4 -
A. Jones 15 2-3 1-1 0-1 0 0 0 0 1 5 1 -
C. Malcolm 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. King 2 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
R. Davis 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -
C. DeWitt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Smith 30 4-8 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 1 3 9 7 -
S. Wood 26 3-8 3-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 9 11 -
J. Gonzalez 25 2-6 1-5 3-5 10 4 1 0 2 8 15 -
R. Howell 21 5-9 1-2 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 11 9 -
F. Degand 20 3-5 3-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 2 9 8 -
C.J. Williams 20 3-6 0-2 0-1 1 1 1 0 2 6 1 -
D. Horner 19 4-8 2-2 2-3 4 3 0 3 3 12 11 -
J. Mays 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 1 0 2 -
J. Davis 14 1-1 0-0 0-2 1 3 0 0 1 2 4 -
J. Vandenberg 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Painter 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter