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2010-01-12

Model Predictions

Model NC State Wolfpack Florida State Seminoles Spread Result
Elo 65.9% 34.1% -
Bradley-Terry 39.5% 60.5% -
Margin 27.4% 72.6% +5.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 39.5% 60.5% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Log Adjusted 23.4% 76.6% -

Actual: Florida State Seminoles -7 (81-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Wood 37 10-15 7-11 4-6 7 2 2 1 1 31 27 -
T. Smith 26 1-8 0-0 5-6 8 0 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Mays 26 1-4 0-2 10-10 0 2 1 0 3 12 8 -
F. Degand 26 3-5 1-3 6-8 1 2 0 0 3 13 8 -
D. Horner 22 2-6 2-3 2-2 0 1 0 0 1 8 2 -
R. Howell 18 3-4 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 0 1 7 9 -
J. Gonzalez 15 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 3 1 0 6 5 1 -
J. Vandenberg 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 1 0 5 -
C.J. Williams 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
J. Davis 3 1-4 0-1 1-1 1 0 0 1 0 3 1 -

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Singleton 36 7-15 2-5 6-10 8 2 2 4 4 22 19 -
D. Kitchen 31 5-10 1-4 4-4 2 4 3 2 1 15 15 -
S. Alabi 31 4-6 0-0 7-10 3 1 0 1 1 15 13 -
D. Dulkys 30 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 2 2 0 5 7 -
M. Snaer 25 5-7 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 4 12 4 -
R. Reid 23 4-9 0-0 4-6 5 0 0 1 2 12 7 -
L. Loucks 13 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. DeMercy 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
X. Gibson 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
P. Jordan 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Shannon 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter