Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | -12.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.7% | 10.3% | -11.9 | ✗ (25.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.0% | 6.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.1% | 25.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +14 (88-74). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Smith | 40 | 7-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 40 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 10-12 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 39 | 5-16 | 3-7 | 8-10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 11 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 33 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 14 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Mason Plumlee | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Andre Dawkins | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ryan Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Wood | 37 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Tracy Smith | 37 | 10-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 19 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 32 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | - |
| F. Degand | 31 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Dennis Horner | 25 | 8-15 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Richard Howell | 15 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Mays | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Josh Davis | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter