Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | NC State Wolfpack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | +14.1 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.1% | 95.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.4% | 77.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: NC State Wolfpack +16 (69-53). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Hansbro | 33 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| J. Dukes | 31 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 5 | - |
| K. Lott | 29 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| O. Krubally | 28 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| T. Goldston | 25 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Marques Johnson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Fields | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| T. Hampton | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Ali | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Vincent | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Curry | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dennis Horner | 34 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| J. Gonzalez | 31 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | - |
| S. Wood | 30 | 3-8 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| C.J. Williams | 28 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Tracy Smith | 25 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 10-12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 22 | - |
| J. Mays | 21 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 10-11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | - |
| Josh Davis | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Vandenberg | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Painter | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Kufuor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Obi-Gwacham | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter