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Montana State

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Montana State Bobcats
Program History
Coach: Matt Logie

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

78.3
PPG
71.5
Opp
+6.8
Margin
46.9%
FG%
37.2%
3P%
74.5%
FT%
33.0
RPG
11.5
APG
9.9
TO
76.5
Pace
73.7
AdjO
72.6
AdjD
#146
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1034 (#152) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 971 (#210) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 1010 (#169) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → +2.0 (#138) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +14.2 (#166) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.582 (#123) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +19.2 More → 0.884 (#52) NetEff +19.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.541 (#149) AdjNet +1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +1.4 More → 0.541 (#149) AdjNet +1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 72.6 More → 0.525 (#146) AdjO 73.7 | AdjD 72.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 70.3 More → 0.610 (#106) AdjO 75.2 | AdjD 70.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.780 (#157) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.743 (#154) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 146 | GP 30 More → 1041 (#202) RD 146 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 78 - 84
2025-11-05 vs Northwest Indian RedHawks W 114 - 44
2025-11-09 vs Denver Pioneers L 73 - 75
2025-11-12 @ Stanford Cardinal L 68 - 77
2025-11-15 @ Boise State Broncos L 58 - 62
2025-11-20 vs Nobel Knights W 92 - 55
2025-11-21 @ Long Beach State Beach W 78 - 72
2025-11-29 @ Utah State Aggies L 81 - 84
2025-12-03 vs St. Thomas-Minnesota Tommies W 82 - 74
2025-12-13 @ Oregon State Beavers L 57 - 67
2025-12-16 @ Cal Poly Mustangs W 83 - 80
2025-12-22 vs Northwest University Eagles W 93 - 54
2026-01-01 vs Northern Colorado Bears W 89 - 75
2026-01-03 vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 77 - 68
2026-01-08 @ Eastern Washington Eagles W 68 - 64
2026-01-10 @ Idaho Vandals L 89 - 92
2026-01-19 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 73 - 68
2026-01-22 vs Idaho State Bengals W 74 - 62
2026-01-24 vs Weber State Wildcats W 91 - 88
2026-01-29 @ Sacramento State Hornets L 80 - 83
2026-01-31 @ Portland State Vikings L 54 - 63
2026-02-05 vs Idaho Vandals W 73 - 66
2026-02-07 vs Eastern Washington Eagles L 71 - 72
2026-02-14 @ Montana Grizzlies W 82 - 71
2026-02-19 @ Weber State Wildcats L 79 - 82
2026-02-21 @ Idaho State Bengals L 76 - 91
2026-02-26 vs Portland State Vikings W 84 - 69
2026-02-28 vs Sacramento State Hornets W 82 - 61
2026-03-02 @ Northern Arizona Lumberjacks W 76 - 65
2026-03-08 vs Idaho Vandals L 74 - 78

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
J. Miller J. Miller - 30 34.3 15.0 5.6 2.8 1.5 0.1 1.2 10.5 13.4 -2 -0.7 -20.0 46.2 41.0 80.9 -0.05 63.3 59.6
P. McMahon P. McMahon - 27 29.4 14.3 4.6 2.0 0.6 0.1 1.6 11.0 9.1 63 2.4 7.6 46.6 25.9 72.0 0.59 54.4 49.0
Christian King Christian King - 27 27.6 12.8 4.4 1.0 1.0 0.3 1.6 10.7 7.1 - - - 41.0 35.5 81.5 - 54.1 50.3
Davian Brown Davian Brown - 19 24.1 11.7 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 1.1 8.6 7.6 49 2.3 6.4 46.0 42.2 80.6 -0.13 62.1 59.2
J. Davis J. Davis - 29 24.9 9.1 2.8 1.3 1.4 0.3 1.2 6.2 7.6 16 0.7 1.7 52.2 40.5 77.6 0.36 64.5 61.1
Cavin Holden Cavin Holden - 8 25.9 8.4 2.6 1.8 0.9 0.1 1.0 7.6 5.1 -1 -0.1 -0.4 37.7 31.0 80.0 -0.21 51.2 48.4
Seth Amunrud Seth Amunrud - 22 21.6 7.5 2.7 0.7 0.7 0.3 0.6 5.5 5.9 23 1.5 6.9 45.8 42.1 100.0 -0.03 63.6 59.2
J. Steppe J. Steppe F 30 15.9 5.7 2.7 0.9 0.4 0.4 1.0 4.3 4.8 49 2.1 15.2 55.0 32.5 58.6 0.05 60.7 60.1
C. Hodges C. Hodges - 30 23.1 5.4 3.8 0.9 0.3 1.0 1.2 3.9 6.4 45 2.0 6.1 58.5 0 46.3 0.26 57.5 58.5
W. Mbatch W. Mbatch - 10 12.0 4.5 3.0 0.6 0.3 0.7 0.8 2.7 5.6 14 1.3 7.2 55.6 0.0 78.9 -0.19 63.6 55.6
Howie Keene Howie Keene - 23 13.0 2.4 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.3 2.4 2.8 16 0.9 11.8 33.9 28.3 100.0 -0.2 47.6 45.5
G. Gaddis G. Gaddis - 5 3.0 1.8 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 0.8 - - - 33.3 14.3 100.0 - 45.5 38.9
C. Rutherfurd C. Rutherfurd - 5 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.4 - - - 100.0 0 50.0 - 86.8 100.0
CJ Purdie CJ Purdie G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
James Steward James Steward F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG