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Montana State Bobcats 79
@
Weber State Wildcats 82
2026-02-19

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Weber State Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 48.0% 52.0% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 55.6% 44.4% - ✗
Margin 57.5% 42.5% -1.7 ✗ (4.7 off)
Pythagorean 51.2% 48.8% - ✗
Efficiency 96.9% 3.1% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 63.1% 36.9% - ✗
Log Adjusted 63.2% 36.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 51.4% 48.6% - ✗

Actual: Weber State Wildcats +3 (82-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 43 7-18 2-11 0-0 8 5 0 0 2 16 9 -
P. McMahon 38 6-15 0-4 5-6 6 1 0 0 4 17 5 -
C. King 33 4-8 2-4 2-3 2 0 3 1 2 12 8 -
J. Davis 31 5-7 2-3 5-5 1 2 1 0 0 17 14 -
J. Steppe 31 7-9 1-1 0-2 4 0 1 2 1 15 12 -
S. Amunrud 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 0 2 -
H. Keene 17 0-1 0-1 2-2 5 0 1 1 1 2 7 -
C. Hodges 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 4 -

Weber State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
V. Vartiainen 38 5-10 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 0 0 12 10 -
N. Burris 34 6-11 1-3 2-2 7 0 3 1 1 15 14 -
T. Hennig 32 7-13 0-3 5-6 7 1 0 0 0 19 14 -
T. Saine Jr. 32 5-16 0-4 4-4 2 5 1 0 1 14 5 -
M. Gomma 31 2-4 0-0 0-1 9 3 0 0 2 4 10 -
E. Suarez Jr. 25 4-6 0-0 2-3 7 3 4 0 2 10 16 -
A. Grayson 18 2-6 0-1 1-3 1 2 1 0 2 5 1 -
D. Paschal 15 1-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 -2 -
D. Hansen 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter