Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.6% | 94.4% | +15.5 | ✓ (6.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.0% | 83.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +9 (77-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Abelman | 28 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -7.0 |
| I. Shaw | 26 | 6-7 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 13 | -2.0 |
| T. Jackson | 25 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 10 | - |
| A. Osojnik | 21 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | -7.0 |
| C. Komin | 21 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| K. Bradford | 20 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 1 | -7.0 |
| Z. Davidson | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | +4.0 |
| B. Peterson | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| E. Poran | 13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| K. Poom | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
| O. Fort | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +5.0 |
| D. Campisano | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.0 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 34 | 8-15 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 14 | +1.9 |
| J. Davis | 28 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | +1.9 |
| P. McMahon | 28 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +2.0 |
| C. King | 27 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 14 | - |
| C. Hodges | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 4 | +4.1 |
| D. Brown | 24 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | +7.0 |
| S. Amunrud | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - |
| J. Steppe | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -7.0 |
* = starter