Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.8% | 55.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.2% | 94.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +14 (89-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Denker | 38 | 6-17 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 7 | +7.1 |
| Z. Bloch | 36 | 6-14 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | +7.1 |
| B. Wisne | 36 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | +7.0 |
| I. Yamazaki | 33 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 5 | +9.0 |
| R. Nyeri | 18 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +2.0 |
| V. Delano | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +2.0 |
| E. Shields | 16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +1.0 |
| A. Mawien | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 35 | 9-14 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 18 | -7.1 |
| P. McMahon | 29 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -4.1 |
| D. Brown | 28 | 6-9 | 4-7 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | -4.1 |
| J. Davis | 28 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 15 | -7.2 |
| C. King | 27 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| C. Hodges | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.0 |
| J. Steppe | 18 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -5.0 |
| S. Amunrud | 13 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -3.0 |
| H. Keene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter