Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals +3 (92-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 36 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 18 | -3.8 |
| D. Brown | 34 | 5-7 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | -3.8 |
| P. McMahon | 32 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | -3.7 |
| C. Hodges | 30 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -3.5 |
| J. Davis | 29 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | -3.9 |
| C. King | 21 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Steppe | 10 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -0.0 |
| S. Amunrud | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 34 | 8-18 | 4-9 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 9 | -1.9 |
| B. Johnson | 33 | 9-14 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 15 | +2.3 |
| J. Payne | 26 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +10.6 |
| B. Rowbury | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | +6.5 |
| J. Rasmussen | 24 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +5.4 |
| I. Brickner | 21 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | +1.4 |
| S. Joba | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.8 |
| M. Klapper | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.8 |
| T. Blassingame | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +4.0 |
| A. Sevilla | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
| E. Steele | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.0 |
* = starter