Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Idaho State Bengals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.3% | 31.7% | -4.2 | ✗ (19.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.3% | 25.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Idaho State Bengals +15 (91-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 39 | 3-7 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | -2.1 |
| C. King | 37 | 5-17 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | - |
| P. McMahon | 35 | 10-20 | 0-2 | 15-17 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 21 | - |
| J. Steppe | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Hodges | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -2.0 |
| J. Davis | 18 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -2.1 |
| S. Amunrud | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| H. Keene | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2.1 |
| C. Rutherfurd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| G. Gaddis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Brewer | 32 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 8 | +5.0 |
| G. Etchison | 31 | 15-25 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 36 | 22 | +3.0 |
| L. Bond | 30 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3.0 |
| M. Kheil | 25 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -3.0 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 21 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 9 | - |
| C. Van De Griend | 18 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | +2.1 |
| E. Otten | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | -1.0 |
| C. Sow | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +3.0 |
| B. Daberkow | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Guerra | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | -0.9 |
| L. Birley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter