Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Pioneers | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.2% | 83.8% | +9.0 | ✗ (11.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.4% | 79.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats -2 (73-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Pioneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Kinsey * | 40 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | +3.6 |
| J. Burke * | 39 | 9-13 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 18 | +5.5 |
| C. Johnson * | 37 | 8-16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 5 | +3.9 |
| G. Oldham * | 32 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5.7 |
| J. Rollins * | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | -2.2 |
| S. Wysocki | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +5.7 |
| Z. Nelson | 12 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +9.6 |
| J. Lee | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller * | 32 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 18 | -8.8 |
| C. Holden * | 30 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -1.1 |
| C. Hodges * | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1.9 |
| C. King * | 24 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| P. McMahon * | 20 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 3 | -7.3 |
| D. Brown | 25 | 7-12 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 7 | -4.8 |
| J. Steppe | 20 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +3.1 |
| J. Davis | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +5.1 |
| W. Mbatch | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -3.9 |
* = starter