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Montana State Bobcats 76
@
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks 65
2026-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Northern Arizona Lumberjacks Spread Result
Elo 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 66.0% 34.0% - ✓
Margin 85.0% 15.0% -9.5 ✓ (1.5 off)
Pythagorean 73.2% 26.8% - ✓
Efficiency 96.1% 3.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 88.6% 11.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 88.7% 11.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 68.1% 31.9% - ✓

Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -11 (65-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Miller 36 4-4 3-3 2-4 8 3 0 0 2 13 18 -
C. King 34 7-13 4-9 0-0 2 2 1 0 2 18 8 -
H. Keene 31 1-7 1-7 0-0 4 1 0 1 0 3 2 -
S. Amunrud 31 3-10 2-8 2-2 5 1 0 0 0 10 6 -
J. Davis 28 3-4 0-1 0-1 5 2 2 0 1 6 10 -
J. Steppe 27 6-10 2-3 2-3 3 1 2 0 2 16 10 -
C. Hodges 13 4-7 0-0 2-3 2 0 0 2 0 10 7 -

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Komin 38 4-9 1-3 0-0 3 6 2 0 2 9 9 -
D. Campisano 36 6-16 2-8 0-1 8 0 1 0 1 14 6 -
R. Abelman 35 1-6 0-2 4-4 6 0 2 0 1 6 7 -
O. Fort 34 10-12 4-5 2-3 3 4 0 0 1 26 20 -
T. Jackson 26 4-8 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 3 0 8 12 -
I. Shaw 13 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Poom 8 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -4 -
B. Peterson 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -3 -
A. Osojnik 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Bradford 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter