Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 21.9% | 78.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.7% | 80.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.0% | 70.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +12 (74-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Kheil | 32 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | -11.6 |
| L. Brewer | 31 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -12.0 |
| C. Hollenbeck | 28 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3.8 |
| C. Sow | 22 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 | -4.6 |
| G. Etchison | 21 | 9-16 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 11 | -4.7 |
| C. Van De Griend | 20 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | -7.5 |
| J. Guerra | 19 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 0 | -5.8 |
| E. Otten | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | -0.9 |
| Q. Patterson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.8 |
| B. Daberkow | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller | 37 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | +11.6 |
| P. McMahon | 30 | 9-17 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 11 | +12.4 |
| D. Brown | 27 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +9.5 |
| S. Amunrud | 25 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +8.4 |
| C. Hodges | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +11.8 |
| C. King | 19 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -2 | - |
| J. Steppe | 19 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -3.2 |
| H. Keene | 19 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +9.4 |
| J. Davis | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +1.9 |
* = starter