Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento State Hornets | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | ✓ (10.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.4% | 87.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +21 (82-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lavrenov | 35 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -24.6 |
| A. Madi | 35 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | -14.7 |
| P. Johnson | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 9 | -20.9 |
| J. Teat | 28 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | -16.6 |
| R. Robinson | 22 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -20.7 |
| S. O'Neal | 20 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Summers | 15 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | -28.8 |
| T. Glover | 12 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3.9 |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Amunrud | 38 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 18 | +28.4 |
| J. Miller | 38 | 7-18 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | +28.3 |
| J. Davis | 38 | 7-13 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 16 | +28.1 |
| H. Keene | 29 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | +22.4 |
| C. Hodges | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | +23.6 |
| C. King | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Steppe | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +10.9 |
| G. Gaddis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| C. Rutherfurd | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter