Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 71.5% | 28.5% | -5.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.4% | 23.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach -6 (72-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Miller * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +13.4 |
| C. Hodges * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 13 | +15.7 |
| P. McMahon * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | +16.4 |
| C. Holden * | 26 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +10.3 |
| C. King * | 19 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Davis | 24 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +8.3 |
| D. Brown | 19 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | +8.3 |
| W. Mbatch | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1.3 |
| J. Steppe | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -1.2 |
| H. Keene | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.9 |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Sykes * | 34 | 9-16 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | -9.7 |
| P. Majstorovic * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 9 | -4.6 |
| I. Lewis * | 26 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 4 | - |
| C. Farrell * | 22 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 4 | -15.8 |
| L. Levillain * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -10.9 |
| S. Bender | 22 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 5 | -3.6 |
| D. Johnson Jr. | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Washington | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.6 |
| R. Diaz III | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -5.7 |
| D. Xzavierro | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2.7 |
| C. Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter